Dwyer Lab


Can Eco-Evo Theory Explain Population Cycles in the Field? American Naturalist (accepted)
Greg Dwyer, Joseph R. Mihaljevic, and Vanja Dukic

Spatial variability in generalist predation on the Douglas-fir tussock moth. Res. Note. PNW-RN-582. 
Charlotte Hovland, Carlos M Polivka, Greg Dwyer, Kirsten C Skalisky


Use of a mechanistic growth model in evaluating post-restoration habitat quality for juvenile salmonids. PLoS One
CM Polivka, JR Mihaljevic, G Dwyer

An empirical test of the role of small-scale transmission in large-scale disease dynamics. American Naturalist
JR Mihaljevic, CM Polivka, CJ Mehmel, C Li, V Dukic, G Dwyer

Stochasticity and infectious disease dynamics: density and weather effects on a fungal insect pathogen. American Naturalist
CH Kyle, J Liu, ME Gallagher, V Dukic, G Dwyer


Combined effects of natural enemies and competition for resources on a forest defoliator: a theoretical and empirical analysis. American Naturalist
ME Gallagher, G Dwyer

Untangling the dynamics of persistence and colonization in microbial communities. The ISME journal
SL Ranjeva, JR Mihaljevic, MB Joseph, AR Giuliano, G Dwyer

Using insect baculoviruses to understand how population structure affects disease spread. Wildlife Disease Ecology
BD Elderd, G Dwyer

Detection of low levels of baculovirus for outbreak-terminating epizootics in defoliating insects. Res. Note. PNW-RN-580.
S Carran, CM Polivka, JR Mihaljevic, G Dwyer


Effects of multiple sources of genetic drift on pathogen variation within hosts. PLoS biology
DA Kennedy, G Dwyer


Recurring infection with ecologically distinct HPV types can explain high prevalence and diversity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Sylvia L Ranjeva, Edward B Baskerville, Vanja Dukic, Luisa L Villa, Eduardo Lazcano-Ponce, Anna R Giuliano, Greg Dwyer, Sarah Cobey

Eco-evolutionary theory and insect outbreaks. The American Naturalist
DJ Páez, V Dukic, J Dushoff, A Fleming-Davies, G Dwyer

Environmental persistence of a pathogen used in microbial insect control. Res. Note. PNW-RN-573. 
KM Polivka, G Dwyer, CJ Mehmel


Genotype‐by‐genotype interactions between an insect and its pathogen. Journal of evolutionary biology
AI Hudson, AE Fleming‐Davies, DJ Páez, G Dwyer

Tracer experiment and model evidence for macrofaunal shaping of microbial nitrogen functions along rocky shores. Biogeosciences
CA Pfister, MA Altabet, S Pather, G Dwyer


Phenotypic variation in environmental persistence of a baculovirus and the cost of virulence. The American Naturalist.
A. Fleming-Davies, and G. Dwyer.

Effects of host heterogeneity on pathogen diversity and evolution. Ecology Letters.
A. Fleming-Davies, V. Dukic, V. Andreasen, and G. Dwyer.

Pathogen exposure affects life history variation in the gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar). Journal of Evolutionary Biology. 
D. Paez, A. Fleming-Davies, and G. Dwyer.

The effects of forest spatial structure on insect outbreaks: insights from host-parasitoid models. The American Naturalist
J.S. Hughes, C. A. Cobbold, K. Haynes, and G. Dwyer.

The effects of the avoidance of infectious hosts on infection risk in an insect-pathogen interaction. The American Naturalist
L. Eakin, M. Wang and G. Dwyer

Combining principal component analysis with parameter line-searches to improve the efficacy of Metropolis–Hastings MCMC. Environmental and Ecological Statistics
D.A. Kennedy, V. Dukic, and G. Dwyer.

Before 2015

D.A. Kennedy, V. Dukic, and G. Dwyer. 2014. Pathogen growth in insect hosts: inferring the importance of different mechanisms using stochastic models and response time data. The American Naturalist. 184(3): 407-423. pdf

B. Elderd, B. J. Rehill, K. J. Haynes, and G. Dwyer. 2013. Induced plant defenses, host–pathogen interactions, and forest insect outbreaks. Proceedings of the National Academy Of Science, 110(37):14978-14983. pdf

B. D. Elderd, G. Dwyer & V. Dukic., 2013. Population-level differences in disease transmission: A Bayesian analysis of multiple smallpox epidemics. Epidemics 5 ( 3): 146-156. pdf

E. Fuller, B. D. Elderd, and G. Dwyer. 2012. Pathogen persistence in the environment and insect-baculovirus interactions: disease-density thresholds, epidemic burnout and insect outbreaks. The American Naturalist 179:70-96. pdf

L.G. Barrett, T. Bell, G. Dwyer, and J. Bergelson. 2011. Cheating, trade-offs and the evolution of aggression in a natural pathogen population. Ecology Letters 14:1149-1157. pdf

B.J. Parker, B. D. Elderd, and G. Dwyer. 2010. Host behaviour and exposure risk in an insect–pathogen interaction. Journal of Animal Ecology 79:863-870. pdf

Abbott, K. C. and G. Dwyer. 2008. Using mechanistic models to understand synchrony in forest insect populations: the North American gypsy moth as a case study. The American Naturalist 172:613-624. pdf

B. D. Elderd, J. Dushoff, and G. Dwyer. 2008. Host-pathogen interactions, insect outbreaks, and natural selection for disease resistance. The American Naturalist 172:829-842. pdf

Abbott K. C. and G. Dwyer. 2007. Food limitation and insect outbreaks: complex dynamics in plant-herbivore models. Journal of Animal Ecology 76:1004-1014. pdf

K. L. S. Drury, J. M. Drake, D. M. Lodge D. M, and G. Dwyer. 2007. Immigration events dispersed in space and time: factors affecting invasion success. Ecological Modelling 206:63-78. pdf

B. D. Elderd, V. M. Dukic, and G. Dwyer. 2006. Uncertainty in predictions of disease spread and public-health responses to bioterrorism and emerging diseases. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 103(42): 15693-15697. pdf

L. G. Crozier, and G. Dwyer. 2006. Combining population-dynamic and ecophysiological models to predict climate-induced insect range shifts. The American Naturalist 167: 853-866. pdf

J. Drake, J., K. L. S. Drury1, D. M. Lodge, A. Blukacz, N.D. Yan and G. Dwyer. 2006. Demographic Stochasticity, Environmental Variability, and Windows of Invasion Risk for Bythotrephes longimanus in North America. Biological Invasions 8:843-861. pdf

G. Dwyer and W. F. Morris. 2006. Resource-dependent dispersal and the speed of biological invasions. The American Naturalist 167 (2): 165-176. pdf

K. L. S. Drury and G. Dwyer. 2005. Combining stochastic models with experiments to understand the dynamics of monarch butterfly colonization. The American Naturalist 166: 731-750. pdf

V. D’Amico, J. S. Elkinton, J. P. Buonaccorsi, and G. Dwyer. 2005. Pathogen clumping: an explanation for non-linear transmission of an insect virus. Ecological Entomology 30: 383-390. pdf

G. Dwyer, J. Firestone, and T. E. Stevens. 2005. Should models of disease dynamics in herbivorous insects include the effects of variability in host-plant foliage quality? The American Naturalist 165:16-31. pdf

G. Dwyer, J. Dushoff, and S. Harrell Yee. 2004. The combined effects of pathogens and predators on insect outbreaks. Nature 430:341-345. (This article was featured in Nature’s News and Views section: L. Stone. 2004. Population ecology: A three-player solution. Nature 430:299-300.) pdf

J. Dushoff and G. Dwyer. 2001. Evaluating the risks of engineered viruses: Modeling pathogen competition. Ecological Applications 11 (6): 1602-1609. pdf

J. Bergelson, G. Dwyer, and J.J. Emerson. 2001. Models and data on plant-enemy coevolution. Annual Review of Genetics 35: 469-499. pdf

Perry, W.L., J.L. Feder, G. Dwyer, and D.M. Lodge. 2001. Hybrid zone dynamics and species replacement between Orconectes crayfishes in a northern Wisconsin lake. Evolution 55 (6): 1153-1166. pdf

G. Dwyer, J. Dushoff, J.S. Elkinton, and S.A. Levin. 2000. Pathogen-driven insect outbreaks revisited: building models from experimental data. The American Naturalist 156 (2): 105-120. pdf

E.A. Stahl, G. Dwyer, R. Mauricio, M. Kreitman, and J. Bergelson. 1999. Dynamics of disease resistance polymorphism at the Rpm1 locus of Arabidopsis. Nature 400: 667-671. pdf

A.F. Hunter and G. Dwyer. 1998. Insect population explosions synthesized and dissected. Integrative Biology 1(5):166-177. pdf

G. Dwyer, J.S. Elkinton , and A.E. Hajek. 1998. Spatial scale and the spread of a fungal pathogen of gypsy moth. The American Naturalist 152: 485-494. pdf

V. D’Amico, J.S. Elkinton, G. Dwyer, R.B. Willis, and M.E. Montgomery. 1998. Foliage damage does not affect within-season transmission of an insect virus. Ecology 79: 1104-1110. pdf

G. Dwyer, J.S. Elkinton, and J.P. Buonaccorsi. 1997. Host heterogeneity in susceptibility and disease dynamics: tests of a mathematical model. The American Naturalist 150: 685-707. (For this paper I was received the Mercer Award of the Ecological Society of America). pdf

W.F. Morris and G. Dwyer. 1997. Population consequences of constitutive and inducible plant resistance: herbivore spatial spread. The American Naturalist 149: 1071-1090. pdf

V. D’Amico, J.S. Elkinton, G. Dwyer, J.P. Burand, and J. P. Buonaccorsi. 1996. Virus transmission in gypsy moths is not a simple mass-action process. Ecology 77: 201-206. pdf

J. S. Elkinton, G. Dwyer, and A. Sharov. 1995. Modelling the epizootiology of gypsy moth nuclear polyhedrosis virus. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 13:91-102. pdf

G. Dwyer and J. S. Elkinton. 1995. Host dispersal and the spatial spread of insect pathogens. Ecology 76:1262-1275. pdf

Dwyer, G. 1994. Density-dependence and spatial-structure in the dynamics of insect pathogens. The American Naturalist 143:533-562. pdf

Dwyer, G. and J.S. Elkinton. 1993. Using simple models to predict virus epizootics in gypsy-moth populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 62:1-11. pdf

Dwyer, G. 1992. On the spatial spread of insect pathogens: theory and experiment. Ecology 73:479-494. pdf

Dwyer, G. 1991. The roles of density, stage and patchiness in the transmission of an insect virus. Ecology 72(2):559-574. pdf

Dwyer, G., S.A. Levin, and L. Buttel. 1990. A simulation model of the population dynamics and evolution of myxomatosis. Ecological Monographs 60:423-447. pdf


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